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Statistical Modeling and Predictive Analytics
Statistics

Statistical Modeling and Predictive Analytics in JMP®

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Building useful statistical models is part science and part art, whether your models need to describe and/or predict, and whether they are simple or complex – for example, with random effects, nonlinearity, unusual data characteristics or other challenges.

The analytics in JMP help reveal relationships among variables in a process, enabling you to not only make predictions, but also to identify settings for factors that yield optimal performance.

Through its visual and interactive graphics, JMP helps you communicate results to people who might not create statistical models themselves, but who need to make better-informed, data-driven decisions. Whether your statistical model is deterministic, or involves necessary noise as well as a signal, JMP is equipped to handle your modeling needs. If your objective involves prediction rather than just exploration, JMP Pro, which includes capabilities for advanced analytics users, also makes it easy for you to ensure that predictions will generalize well.

In modeling situations where one or more responses are of interest, the Profiler in JMP allows you to interactively review and optimize these outcomes, and compare and contrast different statistical models of the same type or of different types. This innovative method for visualizing models lets you easily explore trade-offs when you need to optimize multiple responses – plus it helps you share your statistical analysis with others, so you can drive deeper understanding and greater insight throughout your organization.

  • Categorical Platform
  • Excel
  • Fit Y by X
  • Time Series
  • Partition
  • Neural
  • Clustering

The Categorical platform in JMP provides tables, summaries and statistical tests of response data and multiple response data when the measured responses indicate membership of a particular category. Such data is generated in a variety of settings, including measuring test results, classifying defects or side effects, and administering surveys. Partly because of its diverse application, categorical data can be presented in a variety of formats. A particular strength of the Categorical platform is that it can handle this diversity without any need to reshape the data prior to exploration and analysis. One or more columns can be used to define the categories within and between which variation in the response is assessed, and the Categorical report contains the resulting charts of share and frequency, by category. Used in conjunction with the Data Filter, these charts provide for quick and easy review of large-scale survey data. The report can also display the associated tabulations and cross tabulations, which can be quickly transposed for easier viewing or printing if needed. Depending on the nature of the responses, you can statistically address questions like: Does the pattern of response vary with sample categories, and have they changed over time? For each response category, are the rates the same across sample categories? How closely do the raters agree? What is the relative risk of different treatments?

Use the Categorical platform to review adverse events and assess relative risk in a clinical trial.
Use the Categorical platform to review adverse events and assess relative risk in a clinical trial.

When your spreadsheet can’t perform the statistical analysis you need or you have so much data that you can’t easily see what it contains, the JMP Add-In for Microsoft Excel allows you to dig deeper.

Utilize the Prediction Profiler to assess the impact of market conditions on key financial metrics for the Airbus 380 using an Excel model.
Utilize the Prediction Profiler to assess the impact of market conditions on key financial metrics for the Airbus 380 using an Excel model.

In many ways, JMP software’s innovative Fit Y by X platform is an application in its own right. As the name implies, it allows you to test for and model dependencies between a single input and a single response or outcome. By using pre-assigned statistical modeling types, Fit Y by X is able to unify what is normally considered to be a disparate set of statistical approaches into a coherent, understandable whole.

Look for associations between cholesterol loss (model type continuous) and both gender (modeling type nominal) and exercise frequency (modeling type continuous) with the Fit Y by X platform.
Look for associations between cholesterol loss (model type continuous) and both gender (modeling type nominal) and exercise frequency (modeling type continuous) with the Fit Y by X platform.

Time series analysis in JMP allows you to explore, model and forecast univariate time series. Your statistical modeling approach can be informed by the usual diagnostics, including plots of autocorrelations and partial autocorrelations, variograms, AR coefficients and spectral density plots.

Use time series analysis to automatically fit a set of ARIMA and smoothing models and make a forecast from the best one.
Use time series analysis to automatically fit a set of ARIMA and smoothing models and make a forecast from the best one.

The Partition platform in JMP enables you to find cuts or groupings of inputs (Xs) that can best predict the variation in an output (Y). This process of splitting the data is recursive – you continue it until you get a useful fit. Grow your tree using decision trees, bootstrap forests (JMP Pro only) or boosted trees (JMP Pro only).

You can interactively build a decision tree with training and validation data.
You can interactively build a decision tree with training and validation data.

The Neural platform in JMP Pro enables you to build fully connected neural networks with hidden nodes in one or two layers. Each node can have one of three different activation functions, and you can have any number of nodes in each layer. Use boosting to help your network to learn difficult cases, and specify one of four penalty methods for your fit.

Compare the effect of different neural architectures on a boosted neural fit.
Compare the effect of different neural architectures on a boosted neural fit.

A key technique in unsupervised learning, clustering forms subgroups so that cases in a particular subgroup are more alike than those in another subgroup. The Cluster platform in JMP lets you scale and transform variables before analysis, and includes interactive hierarchical and K-means clustering.

Hierarchical clustering builds an interactive dendrogram that you can zoom in on to focus on interesting clusters. Heat maps and parallel coordinates plots help you to judge the optimal number of clusters to use.
Hierarchical clustering builds an interactive dendrogram that you can zoom in on to focus on interesting clusters. Heat maps and parallel coordinates plots help you to judge the optimal number of clusters to use.
Selected JMP capabilities in Modeling and Predictive Analytics
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More resources for Modeling and Predictive Analytics

Demos

Modeling with JMP – Overview

WANTED: The Best Predictive Model

Predictive Modeling for Marketing

On-Demand Webcasts

Predictive Analytics for the Eyes and Mind with Stephen Few

Predictive Modeling for Marketing

Building Better Models to Predict Product Quality

White Papers

Predictive Analytics for the Eyes and Mind
by Stephen Few

Ad Hoc and Statistical Model Visualization Using JMP®, SAS® and Microsoft Excel
by Jon Weisz

Data Exploration in Preparation for Modeling
by Michael Berry

Books

Applied Linear Regression Models

Generalized Linear Models: With Applications in Engineering and the Sciences

Stats: Data and Models

Customer Success Stories

Federal Aviation Administration (FAA)

McDonald’s

Kaiser Permanente

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More on Modeling

Modeling on the JMP Blog

PodcaSts

Leighton Spadone, The Goodyear Tire and Rubber Company

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